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• Bitcoin rejection from $52,000 leads to unstoppable declines under $50,000.
• Technical indicators flip bearish for Bitcoin, adding weight to the impending price drop.
• The IOMAP model reveals immense resistance ahead of BTC and robust support, hinting at a potential consolidation.

Bitcoin continues to explore price levels under $50,000 following a recent rejection at $52,000. Initially, traders anticipated support at the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50 SMA on the 4-hour chart, but the gravitational force seems extremely hard to stop.

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Meanwhile, the bellwether cryptocurrency is trading slightly above $47,000. Short-term technical analysis shows that the least resistance path is downwards. This is emphasized by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the same 4-hour chart.

The trend momentum indicator has also flipped bearish following the MACD line (blue) cross under the signal line. Additionally, the technical indicator is falling toward the midline and may extend the action into the negative region.

Bitcoin is expected to secure support at the 200 SMA to halt the losses. However, if push comes to shove, BTC will extend the bearish leg to $42,000 due to the lack of a robust support area.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

The In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model by IntoThepBlock bolsters the massive resistance ahead of the flagship cryptocurrency. Recovery from the current price levels to $50,000 will not come easy, especially with the selling pressure between $48,450 and $49,816. Here, nearly 1.1 million addresses had bought 504,000 BTC.

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On the flip side, the same on-chain model reveals that Bitcoin’s downside is also strongly supported, which means that losses as far as $42,000 may not come into the picture. Consolidation may take place owing to the support running from $45,660 and $47,026. Here, approximately 739,000 had purchased 445,000 BTC.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum whales are preparing for a renewed cryptocurrency market rally, grabbing as much of both cryptoassets’ total supply as they can before prices move up in the near future.

According to crypto analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s largest holder – those with over 1,000 BTC or more, worth about $49.8 million at press time – now hold 42.56% of the flagship cryptocurrency’s total supply, after dropping from 43.29% on February 8. Their large supply helped fueled bitcoin’s move to a new all-time high to $58,000.

Per the firm, if whales control over 43% of bitcoin’s total supply, it will be an “indication whales are looking to fuel another rally.”

Large holders taking over a larger portion of the cryptocurrency’s supply may help reduce selling pressure and even lead to a supply squeeze, as demand from other buyers remains while available supply drops significantly.

Santiment, as Daily Hodl reports, also revealed that Ethereum’s 10 largest addresses that are not controlled by cryptocurrency trading platforms are holdings the “most combined supply of ETH tokens (16.86M) since July 2016.”

Earlier this month, over 1 million ETH ($1.57 billion) was added to these addresses, showing they’re gearing up for a move upward.

In separate tweets, Santiment pointed out that while whales prepare for a BTC and ETH rally, smaller cryptocurrencies have been outperforming these blue-chip cryptos, likely because of demand coming in from retail investors.

Altcoins outperforming both BTC and ETH include Polygon (MATIC), Enjin (ENJ), Theta blockchain’s governance token Theta Fuel (TFUEL), and XinFin (XDC). These are outperforming bitcoin at a time in which the cryptocurrency struggles to remain above the $50,000 mark.

Other metrics point to an upcoming cryptocurrency rally. The amount of bitocin held on cryptocurrency exchanges has been steadily dropping over the last few weeks, to the point that over the last 30 days an estimated 46,900 BTC, worth over $2.3 billion, is believed to have left trading platforms.

The bitcoin balance on cryptocurrency trading platforms is often used by analysts to gain insights into what BTC investors are thinking. A large amount of bitcoin leaving trading platforms shows investors are looking to self-custody their funds, presumably because they plan to hold onto them for some time. This reduces selling pressure on the cryptocurrency.

Featured image via Unsplash.

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Source: https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2021/03/bitcoin-and-ether-whales-prepare-for-market-rally-as-altcoins-outperform-top-cryptos/

Bitcoin price failed to stay above $50,000 and $49,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is now below the 100 hourly SMA and it is likely to continue lower towards $45,000

• Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $50,000 and $49,000 support levels.
• The price is now trading well below $50,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $49,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could extend its decline towards $45,000 as long as it is below $50,000.

Bitcoin Price Turns Red

After forming a short-term top near the $52,600 level, bitcoin started a fresh decline. BTC traded below the $51,200 and $50,000 support levels to move back into a negative zone.

There was also a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $49,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even broke the $48,000 support level. There was a clear break below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $43,050 swing low to $52,650 high.

It is now trading well below $50,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It seems like the bulls are trying to protect the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $43,050 swing low to $52,650 high.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If they fail and the price trades below $46,500, there are chances of more losses. The next key support is near the $45,000 level, below which the bears might aim a test of the $43,000 support zone.

Fresh Increase in BTC?

If bitcoin stays above $46,500, it could correct higher. An initial resistance on the upside is near the $48,000 level. The first major resistance is near the $49,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $49,000 on the same chart. To move into a positive zone, the price must clear the trend line resistance and then gain pace above the $50,000 barrier.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $46,500, followed by $45,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $48,000, $49,000 and $50,000.

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Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/bitcoin-btc-could-retest-45k/