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Bitcoin Market Report: $BTC Bearish

December 30 2018 05:33 UTC   Bitcoin has lost -2.81% or -107.93 USDT in twenty-four hours. In this Sunday Edition find $BTC price action, trend, technicals and more. Or jump right to the Bitcoin $BTC Price Outlook.   Price Action The price of $BTC has fallen over twenty-four hours. The last price at press time […]

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December 30 2018 05:33 UTC

 

Bitcoin has lost -2.81% or -107.93 USDT in twenty-four hours. In this Sunday Edition find $BTC price action, trend, technicals and more. Or jump right to the Bitcoin $BTC Price Outlook.

 

Price Action

The price of $BTC has fallen over twenty-four hours. The last price at press time is 3730.04 USDT. In Binance light to moderate volume trading the daily change is -2.81%, or -107.93 USDT:
$BTC Price Change
period % USDT
24 hours -2.81 -107.93
7 days -5.08 -199.67
1 month -13.17 -565.68

News

Trend

trend is DOWN

The Bitcoin quarterly trend is down. The trend has been down since the peak of $19,798.68 on December 17 2017. That’s more than twelve months of mostly bear market. In all fairness there have been several multi day rallies. The end result to date is still a continued downtrend.

[Trend is "down" when the quarterly price movement is predominantly downwards.]

Real Time Market Depth

The real time market depth is bearish.

 

[The real time market depth is a fractional representation of the order book, used to assist in determining market direction.]

Chart

Tap / click to zoom:

btc-usdt-binance-one-week-candles-2018-12-29

 

Remarks

Bitcoin is in a multi month descending trend with lower highs and lower lows. Although $BTC has had some very good days, overall the trend is down.

Normally much shorter term data points would be used for a shorter term analysis like this. Since this is the last Bitcoin $BTC report for the 2018 year, the weekly chart was used to portray the wider perspective.

 

Technicals

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

The MACD on the one day chart is bullish. The one week MACD is bearish.

[MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator]

 

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

period average
7 day 4190.99
25 day 5681.19
99 day 6403.45

Using the weekly chart for EMA illustrates how the last price of $3730.04 is so much lower than all (3) of the EMA averages: short, medium and long term. The angle of descent is moderately steep.

[EMA is a type of moving average that weights recent price fluctuations more, yielding a better short term signal]

 

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index on the one day chart is 46.8. This is a neutral state.

[RSI is is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price fluctuations to determine an overbought or oversold state]

 

 

Bitcoin $BTC Price Outlook

bearish

  • the Bitcoin $BTC price outlook is bearish
  • if the price finds acceptance at higher levels the major resistance prints at 4198
  • if the price finds acceptance at lower levels the major support prints at 3156
Resistance levels: 4198 3892

Support levels: 3156 3658

 

Invalidation: This outlook is no longer valid if the asset has performed outside of its resistance or support levels, or outside of its short term analysis duration.

 

Analysis Duration: six hours

This report is for a short duration of six hours. Analysis is time sensitive.

[Analysis duration yields a “best before date”, calculated from report generation at December 30 2018 05:33 UTC.]

 

Independent Comparison

Comparing our outlook with independent, automated results from Investing.com shows:

Asset: Bitcoin $BTC
Time Period: Monthly
Summary: strong sell
Moving Averages: sell
Technical Indicators: strong sell

 

Disclosure

The author holds Bitcoin $BTC at the time of writing.

About @KittyBitcoin

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Source: http://allcoinsnews.com/2018/12/30/bitcoin-market-report-btc-bearish/

Blockchain

Bitcoin Difficulty Ribbon Could Indicate Imminent Price Increase

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One is called the difficulty ribbon, and it has just broken out of the green buy zone for the first time since March in terms of compression. The metric was reported by analytics provider Glassnode, which added that historically, these had been periods characterized by a positive momentum indicating significant price increases.

Historical Bitcoin Buy Signal

The Bitcoin difficulty ribbon was created by chartist Willy Woo. It consists of simple moving averages of network difficulty enabling the rate of change of difficulty to be easily seen. Periods of high ribbon compression, such as the current situation, have been historically good buying opportunities.

There have been several significant price increases over Bitcoin’s lifespan that followed this ribbon compression breaking out of the green zone. The most recent was around April 2019 when BTC prices surged from below $5k to top out over $13k just three months later.

It was also observed that there had been a massive divergence in difficulty ribbon compression and Bitcoin price over the past six years. However, the chart has used a logarithmic price chart, which may have caused that anomaly.

Bitcoin’s hash ribbon is a similar metric, and CryptoPotato reported that it was flashing buy signals back in July. In the five weeks that followed, BTC price surged 34% to make its 2020 high.

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BTC Price Action Update

Looking at the shorter term, Bitcoin’s price chart has just printed another ‘Bart Simpson’ pattern with a sharp 2.3% decline in just over an hour, wiping Monday’s gains.

Prices had recovered to $10,725 at the time of writing, and sentiment appears to be bullish for BTC, according to a recent poll by analyst and trader Josh Rager.

Bitcoin is currently trading right on the 50-day moving average, which is acting as resistance at the moment. The next step above this is a break above $11k, while on the low side, there is strong support at the $10k level. Analyst ‘CryptoHamster’ added:

“After the breakout the resistance line became support. Now it is getting tested. If it holds, it would be a very nice sign. But it has to hold, otherwise the whole growth is just a short squeeze.”

Short term charts suggest price could go either way, but longer-term on-chain analytics, such as the difficulty ribbon, are more bullish.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-difficulty-ribbon-could-indicate-imminent-price-increase/

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Bulgarian National Convicted For His Role in a Bitcoin-Related Crypto Exchage Scam

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The owner of a cryptocurrency exchange has been recently convicted in a transnational scheme of defrauding people through an online auction fraud. Court says the scam reached a multi-million dollar scale.

At Least 900 Americans Victimized

As per a recent report, people who suffered from the fraud were probably more than 900 American citizens. According to the official statement, 53-years-old Rossen Iossifov, formerly of Bulgaria and reported owner of a Bulgaria-based Bitcoin exchange R.G. Coins, was convicted of both conspiracy to commit racketeering and money laundering. After a two-week trial, the jury in Frankfort, Kentucky and U.S. District Judge Robert E. Wier scheduled the sentencing to Jan 12, 2021.

Reportedly, some of the Romania-based members of the group posted a false advertisement to promote an online auction and sales websites, among which Craigslist and eBay. The ad promised its victims high-cost goods (typically vehicles) that did not exist.

As per the release, members of the scam would use stolen identities to promote and convince their victims to send money for the advertised items via “persuasive narratives”. For example, some of the ads had impersonated a military member in need of selling the advertised item before deployment.

The scammers also provided invoices with trademarks of reputable companies to their victims, making the transactions seem legit. The legal document also reveals that members of the conspiracy set up call centers, offering customer support. This way they would provide advice to client questions and “alleviate concerns over the advertisements”.

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Converting The Stolen Funds Into Crypto Assets

According to the official statement, once Iosiffov received the victims’ funds, he and his fellows would convert them into crypto assets and transfer them to off-shore money launderers.

As per the court documents, “since at least September 2015 to December 2018, the Bulgarian exchanged crypto assets into local fiat currency on behalf of his Romania-based partners in the scam, knowing that Bitcoin presented the proceeds of illegal activity.”

According to the court statement, in just two and a half years, Iossifov exchanged more than $4.9 million worth of Bitcoin for only four of the members of the criminal team.

A total of seventeen defendants have been convicted in the case. Three others are fugitives. Police departments in the U.S. and Romania have led the procedures on the case.

It’s worth noting that the US DOJ is becoming increasingly active in pursuing crypto-related fraud. As CryptoPotato reported earlier, it went after 280 cryptocurrency accounts related to hackers from North Korea.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bulgarian-national-convicted-for-his-role-in-a-bitcoin-related-crypto-exchage-scam/

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Aave Governance is Now on Mainnet: Incoming 100:1 Token Split For LEND?

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The Aave Money Market DeFi protocol is now about to be more decentralized than ever. In an announcement published on its official blog on 25th September 2020, the team reported on the successful launch of the Aave Governance on the mainnet.

This means that users of the protocol will now be able to vote on critical decisions for the project’s future. As Aave explains, the governance implementation was active in the Kovan and Ropsten testnets, giving users the ability to experiment with how to participate in the voting process for various improvement proposals, known as AIP.

Bye LEND Welcome AAVE tokens: Aave’s First Proposal

Unlike testnet implementations, the effects of launching governance on the mainnet are now more formal and reflect the commitment of the development team to empowering the community. The first AIP for which users will be able to vote involves a token migration and the total supply reconversion.

Should the first AIP be approved, the LEND tokens will become AAVE tokens, and the total supply will drop by 100:1. While this may give the impression of less liquidity, the reality is that the value or market cap should, in theory, remain the same as the AAVE holdings in the owners’ wallets would also decrease proportionally.

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“The major benefits of the migration is that we activate the Safety Module, meaning that AAVE token holders can stake their AAVE and earn,” told us Aave CEO, Stani Kulechov.

These modules are created to secure the protocol and would be used to recapitalize the platform in case of a deficit.

Will exchanges support the Lend – Aave migration? According to Kulechov, “Major exchanges will support after the migration is complete; however, they will separately announce on the support.”

More Incentives for the Community

The Aave team also plans to put under consideration the possibility of including part of the fees within these Safety Modules. In this way, it is guaranteed that the security of the protocol increases with its usability.

stani
Kulechov, Aave CEO. Source: Twitter

“The SM will act as a recapitalization mechanism, so in the case of a shortfall event, your stake may be slashed up to 30% to cover the deficit. The idea behind “safety mining” is to reward community members who stake their AAVE to promote the safety of the protocol.

In addition to the Safety Incentives, users would have the opportunity to earn Ecosystem Incentives (EI) for supplying and borrowing assets from within the platform. They hope that the community will also be able to decide how to distribute specific incentives in the near future.

Aave is one of the longest-running DeFi protocols in the ecosystem. It allows users to lend and borrow certain assets, putting others as collateral. However, interests are automatically determined by supply and demand according to parameters coded within the protocol.

Besides, Aave became famous for allowing flash loans. This mode allows a person to take an unsecured loan on the condition that it is repaid before the next block is mined.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/aave-governance-is-now-on-mainnet-incoming-1001-token-split-for-lend/

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