Bitcoin price continues to consolidate above $9,000 but has repeatedly failed to break above $10,000. The lower the asset’s value gets, the more it falls below the cost of production for many miners.
A key metric measuring the impact price action has on miner operations, is signaling that more miners are capitulating during the current price action than during Black Thursday. If prices continue to decline, what might this mean for miners powering the Bitcoin protocol?
Hash Ribbons Signal Worse BTC Miner Capitulation Than Black Thursday Caused
Bitcoin price is trading at just under $9,500 currently, still up over 140% from the low set on the historic day now known as Black Thursday 2020.
Despite the asset trading at nearly 3 times the value from the bottom set back then, the current price action is causing a comparable amount of Bitcoin miners to capitulate.
Related Reading | Dump Incoming? Bitcoin Price Action Matches Wyckoff Distribution Model
According to a tool developed by Bitcoin researcher Charles Edwards dubbed the Hash Ribbons, miners are capitulating at a similar rate compared to when Bitcoin was trading at such lows. But what’s the reason for this?
Post-Halving Bitcoin Price Trades Far Below Cost of Production, Adding Sell Pressure To Bear Market
All of miner’s profit margins depend on the current market price of Bitcoin and the current cost of energy and other operational expenditures.
The higher the price of Bitcoin and the lower the opex, the better the margins and the more profitable the business.
However, when the cost of producing each BTC falls below the always fluctuating market price of the cryptocurrency, miners either take the loss or more likely, shut down their machines until either difficulty adjusts or prices rise to more profitable levels.
During the Black Thursday market collapse, the price per BTC fell so low, it immediately began causing miners to capitulate in the days following.
Now, the Hash Ribbons, a tool used to gauge the impact of miners on Bitcoin price and the health of the network, is showing a similar capitulation event taking place across the mining industry. But why exactly this happening when Bitcoin price is trading at more than double the price it was then?
The answer is due to the halving. Come early May, the block reward miners receive was slashed in half from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. This also doubled the cost of producing each BTC overnight.
In the chart above, the Cost of Production indicator demonstrates just how significantly the metric is below the price of the first-ever cryptocurrency currently.
Looking at the differences, indicated by the dark red shaded area above BTCUSD price action, the asset’s price is currently trading at the largest discrepancy in the cost of production over the last two years.
This suggests that the current capitulation in miners may be worse than the drop to the bear market bottom at $3,200, and the retest from Black Thursday that saw prices break under $4,000 abruptly.
If Bitcoin price drops further from here, the selloff due to miners closing up shop and selling off their remaining BTC holdings could send prices tumbling further.
It will be interesting to see how price action further develops in relation to the cost of production. When the Hash Ribbons do eventually signal that capitulation is over, it will likely give the final buy signal before the next bull market finally begins.
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Roundup for the Week Gone By
Bullish headlines are sending Bitcoin to the skies, with large-cap coins surging to new 2020 highs after PayPal announced on Wednesday it will be integrating cryptocurrency.
The good news continued as the week progressed. America’s biggest bank JP Morgan released a report on Friday claiming Bitcoin is a better investment prospect than gold, and Kanye West dropped Bitcoin bombs on the world’s biggest podcast — telling Joe Rogan that Bitcoiners “really have a perspective on what the true liberation of America and humanity will be.”
As the cryptocurrency market surged, Bitcoin cast off the shackles of its recent correlation with the S&P 500. This fulfills the prophecy of legendary investor Paul Tudor Jones, who called Bitcoin the “fastest horse in the race” back in May, and appeared on CNBC on Thursday to reaffirm his commitment.
This Week’s Highlights
- PayPal Embraces Bitcoin
- JP Morgan Flips Bullish
PayPal Embraces Bitcoin
487 million US citizens will be brought to the crypto table over the next few weeks as payment giant PayPal gradually rolls out functionality allowing users to buy Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin.
Bitcoin, which had been steadily climbing before the announcement on Wednesday, treated the news like rocket fuel: The price jumped vertically as the news hit, and quickly broke resistance at $13K.
Yet while Bitcoin has made 12% gains over the last seven days, the leading cryptocurrency has fallen behind Litecoin, which soared over 21% on the news.
JP Morgan Flips Bullish on BTC
JP Morgan, the investment bank that claimed Bitcoin was a “fraud” back in 2017, has changed its tune.
Looking ahead, the bank claims that Bitcoin could have “considerable long-term upside”, with the market cap needing “to rise 10 times from here to match the total private sector investment in gold via ETFs or bars and coins.”
The Week Ahead
Although a pullback could be expected after such a strong rally, BTC’s exuberance shows no sign of abating.
Speaking on CNBC on Thursday, billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones said the rally is in its “first inning.” He expects more upwards momentum as investors start buying up the cryptocurrency as an inflation hedge.
If the rally continues, the next stop could be the 2019 high of $13,900. Beyond this milestone, the price is almost hitting open sky. As there is little trading history past this point, we could see heightened volatility as the cryptocurrency seeks to establish itself at this new elevation.
Hedge Funds Failures, Bankruptcies and Pandemic Fatigue
As cases rise and the U.S. settles in for a fresh wave of COVID-19, the economic fallout from round one is still being felt, from hedge funds to bankruptcies and beyond.
Our main conversation is about the rise of a new wave of COVID-19 and the economic fallout we’re still trying to address. NLW discusses why we’re starting this next wave more emotionally drained, politically divided and economically fragile than we were in March.
SwapSpace: Quick Cryptocurrency Swaps at No Additional Fees
The cryptocurrency field is growing at a considerable rate as more companies and individuals get involved.
As CryptoPotato recently reported, Google searches for the ‘buy crypto’ key phrase have surged to their highest point since all the way back in January 2018 – during the peak of the ICO bubble.
Google traffic is usually a very good indicator of retail interest in the field, but institutions are not lagging behind. Another report by the giant multinational financial services corporation Fidelity Investments revealed that 36% of institutional investors own Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Amid the growing popularity, more venues are offering seamless exchange and swaps of various crypto assets.
One of such platforms is SwapSpace. With a particularly intuitive swapping process and over 350 coins and tokens, as well as more than 60,000 exchange pairs, the platform has managed to establish itself as one of the more convenient ones to use if you want to quickly swap your coins without having to go through a lengthy registration.
What is SwapSpace?
SwapSpace brings forward an instant aggregator of cryptocurrency exchanges. The number one priority of the company is to save time for their clients and to make the process as easy as possible.
Users don’t have to spend excessive time searching for pairs and comparing rates, privacy features, and fees on different services.
All they have to do is choose the most appropriate swap option from different instant exchange services for the selected exchange pair. There are no limits on the amount to be exchanged, no registration, and a process that takes no more than four quick steps.
How Does SwapSpace Work?
Right off the bat, as soon as the user lands on the website’s homepage, they will see the swapping interface, which is particularly simplified. Here are the steps that have to be taken to successfully complete a crypto swap.
Step #1: Select your tokens
On the homepage of the website, you’ll find the following screen:
Here, you need to choose the crypto that you want to send and the one that you want to receive. In this example, we are swapping Bitcoin for the stablecoin USDT. Enter the swap amount and hit “View offers.”
Step #2: Select the best offer
As soon as you hit that red button, this is the screen that you will get:
The platform filters the offers automatically, and you will always get the best rate displayed on top. You can choose the swap option by the rates or by exchange flow: SwapSpace offers both fixed and floating rate exchanges.
In this case, the best rate is provided by SimpleSwap, and as soon as you hit “Exchange,” you will get to the next step of the process.
Step #3: Enter the recipient’s address
During this step, you will have to enter the address of the recipient.
In this case, we will be inputting the address that will receive the USDT once the BTC swap is completed.
Step #4: Transfer funds to the exchange service
This is where you would have to send the coin or token that you want to swap.
The last step is just to wait for the exchange to be completed. You will be able to see all the details of the transaction, read information about the partner you’ve chosen, and the average time it takes to complete the exchange.
That’s pretty much it. SwapSpace requires no further actions to be taken, and just like that, you’ll be able to swap your cryptocurrencies in a quick and seamless way.
It’s also worth noting that customer support works all over the clock and replies instantly. Overall reviews of the platform provided via Trustpilot are positive. There’s no limit to the amount you can swap, and there are no additional fees that you’ll have to worry about.
Pros and Cons
As with everything, there are certain benefits and drawbacks to using SwapSpace.
- The process is very quick and simple
- No additional fees
- No registration
- An abundance of cryptocurrencies
- Fixed and floating rates
- The company is relatively new, registered in 2019
- No support for fiat currencies
Binance Futures 50 USDT FREE Voucher: Use this link to register & get 10% off fees and 50 USDT when trading 500 USDT (limited offer).
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