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Bullish: Huge H&S Pattern Developing in Bitcoin With $20K Target At ATH

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After quite a volatile rally to $13,000, bitcoin price action has tempered down a bit. But, the case for future gains remains strong, according to a technical setup that popular Youtube and Twitter-based BTC analyst Carl Martin shared today. This will surely get the hopium levels of bulls soaring. According to him, the top cryptocurrency will soon hit the previous all-time high of $20,000. But there’s a catch.

Bitcoin’s Road To $20,000 In 2020 Has An Inverse Head And Shoulders

According to an inverse head and shoulders (IH&S) setup shared by Carl, who, by the way, goes by the name of ‘TheMoon,’ bitcoin price has already cleared the first two stages of the IH&S pattern. Based on this, Carl remarked that the price target of $20,000 is closer than it appears.

btc_hs_oct24
BTC/USD, chart by TradingView, Source: TheMoon

Generally speaking, market participants consider IH&S as one of the bullish indicators apart from the golden cross and some wedge formations. Explosive price runs follow the successful completion of an IH&S pattern. Sometimes the upside targets look similar to the height of the middle trough.

How Does This Setup Play Out?

According to the analyst, the bitcoin price chart printed the first IH&S trough towards the beginning of this year, when BTC rallied in response to ongoing geopolitical conditions. The next formation was after the Black Thursday crash in March. This is when the bitcoin price fell all the way down to $3,858. And then, after a brief bout of sideways trading, began rallying towards April end-May beginning.

BTC formed the third IH&S trough after picking up post the September crash (after a flat trade phase, of course). This is the current rally in which bitcoin surpassed this year’s high and tapped $13,200. Carl said that the next stop is $19,700, but for that, BTC has to post a weekly close above the delineated ‘neckline.’ But will it happen?

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JP Morgan Makes The Case For A Hyper-Bullish BTC

Macro investor Dan Tapiero just shared a snapshot of the ‘Flows and Liquidity Report’ published by JP Morgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The report, as per him, draws an extremely bullish outlook for bitcoin. And how? Here’s an excerpt:

…the total market capitalization for bitcoin is $240bn. At first glance, this makes it comparable to the total size ofgold ETFs at $210bn. But gold ETFs is not the main way wealth is stored in gold. Wealth is mostly stored via gold bars and coins the stock of which, excluding those held by central banks, amounts to 42600 tonnes or $2.6tr including gold ETFs. Mechanically, the market cap of bitcoin would have to rise 10 times from here to match the total private sector investment to gold via ETFs or bars or coins. even a modest crowding out of gold as an “alternative” currency over the longer term would imply doubling or tripling of the bitcoin price from here. In other words, the potential upside for bitcoin is considerable as it competes more intensely with gold as an “alternative” currency we believe, given that Millenials would become over time a more important component of investors’ unviverse.

Will we see bitcoin posting a weekly close above that neckline, which Carl mentioned? Let’s see.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bullish-huge-hs-pattern-developing-in-bitcoin-with-20k-target-at-ath/

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Further Declines in Bitcoin Price Possible Though Grayscale is Crucial, Notes JPM Analyst

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Although Bitcoin has recovered from its vigorous price losses during the Thanksgiving massacre, analysts from JPMorgan Chase & Co believe that further declines may still occur.

The strategists pointed out that Grayscale, through its Bitcoin Trust, will play a significant role in future BTC price developments.

Is Bitcoin To Head Further South?

The primary cryptocurrency reached a new yearly high of $19,500 last week; thus, it came less than 3% away from the 2017 all-time high of $20,000. As the community began speculating on how long it will take to surpass that level, the trend reversed viciously.

Bitcoin headed south and lost over $3,000 of value in hours. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has recovered most of its losses and trades north of $18,000.

A JPM analysis, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, recently said that the Thanksgiving price drops had cleared the “previous froth in momentum traders’ positioning.” However, the strategists hinted that Bitcoin could still go lower.

“Momentum traders such as commodity trading advisors and other quantitative funds likely played a big role in the slide by unwinding long Bitcoin futures positions. Momentum traders have room to further propagate” the Bitcoin decline, noted the analysts cited by Bloomberg.

Apart from broaching “momentum traders,” the strategists also discussed various other reasons behind the price developments. Those included the rumors of new regulations proposed by the Trump administration and profit-taking.

Grayscale Is Key

The JPM strategists also highlighted the significant role of Grayscale and its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust on the market. The cryptocurrency manager is the most preferred company for institutional investors to receive exposure to Bitcoin (and other digital assets) without worrying about storing the funds.

This has been exemplified through 2020 as Grayscale has reported back-to-back recording-breaking quarterly results. The assets under management (AUM) have exploded in the past 12 months to over $10 billion. Somewhat expectedly, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has the most substantial share.

The analysts asserted that if there’s a decline in the interest towards GBTC, this could damage the narrative that Bitcoin has become a favorite among institutional investors:

“A failure by the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to receive additional inflows over the coming weeks would also cast doubt to the idea that institutional investors such as family offices have embarked on a trend of embracing Bitcoin as digital gold replacing traditional gold as a long-term investment.”

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/further-declines-in-bitcoin-price-possible-though-grayscale-is-crucial-notes-jpm-analyst/

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Biden announces nomination of Janet Yellen to lead Treasury Department

President-elect Joe Biden and his transition team have announced Janet Yellen as the official Secretary of Treasury nominee.

The post Biden announces nomination of Janet Yellen to lead Treasury Department appeared first on The Block.

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Biden announces nomination of Janet Yellen to lead Treasury Department


















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FCA Warns Britons over Cryptocurrency Broker Markets Pilot

Final rules banning crypto CFDs and exchange traded notes will come into effect on January 6, 2021.

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The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority said in a brief statement Monday that local investors should use extreme caution when dealing with unauthorized firms known to have been soliciting customers in the UK jurisdiction.

The regulator specifically pointed out that one of the brokers highlighted in the latest flurry, Markets Pilot, is offering cryptocurrency-related services to British residents without being authorised to do so.

Markets Pilot is posing as an authorised company and claims to be a trading name of Click World Ltd, Cnr Old and Church Street. Additionally, the company is targeting UK investors with a full range of offshore investment services, including cryptocurrencies.

Britons that have been approached by Markets Pilot should contact the FCA, and anyone that has transferred money to the firm should report the incident to Action Fraud, the regulator further states.

Moreover, the City watchdog emphasized that anyone who deals with an unauthorized firm is not protected by the UK lifeboat scheme, and thus cannot complain to the Financial Ombudsman Service.

FCA concerns underpin retail ban

The latest warning comes ahead of scheduled applicability of final rules banning derivatives that allow investors to take a view on the direction of the price of crypto assets. The ban will come into effect on January 6, 2021, and affects CFDs, options and futures, as well as exchange traded notes (ETNs) that relate to unregulated cryptoassets.

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The FCA estimates the prohibition would save investors £53 million ($69 million) a year in losses, but it would not force them to liquidate their existing trades.

The FCA considers these products are ‘ill-suited to retail consumers’ who cannot assess the risks of derivatives or ETNs that reference certain crypto-assets.

The UK government has also proposed to bring the promotion of crypto-assets into the scope of the FCA’s existing oversight, rather than creating a new framework specifically for these products.

Citing concern over investor protection, the authorities said that even companies that sell regulated investments with an underlying cryptocurrency element will need FCA authorization to do so depending on their activities.

Providing the FCA with power to regulate the promotion of certain types of cryptoassets, for the first time, would be the quickest way of doing this and stamping out misleading advertising.

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