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What Happens When Bitcoin [BTC] Enters “Price Discovery Mode”?

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Currently, at $18,727, Bitcoin (BTC) is looking for one final push above its all-time high of $20,000. However, this year’s rally is backed by major institutional participation with some big players in the financial space pouring millions of dollars into this digital gold.

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With the rising institutional participation, financial giants have started working out Bitcoin investment instruments that cater to the institutional demands. Some of the regulated financial giants like CME and Bakkt are already offering to trade for the Bitcoin futures. On the other hand, there’s enough work going around introducing Bitcoin ETFs in the market.

But for all these investment products to exist in the market, it is important to understand the price discovery mechanism for the asset class. Let’s take a look at what does Bitcoin Price Discovery means in reality.

Understanding the Bitcoin Price Discovery Mechanism

The price discovery mechanism basically means deriving the price of an asset within a market based on the buyer and seller interactions. The Bitcoin Price Discovery means setting up a spot price for Bitcoin (BTC) trading which depends on a number of tangible and intangible factors.

Apart from the classic economic principles of demand and supply, there are a number of factors that come into the picture of the BTC price discovery. This can include factors like the flow of information among crypto markets, exchanges, as well as the interactions with the traditional markets. As we saw this year, the global economic condition and uncertainties also have a considerable weightage on the price discovery.

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As said, at the core of the Bitcoin Price Discovery is the most important demand and supply factor. Also, the Bitcoin Price Discovery depends largely on the futures and options market. Traders in this market have better information and judgment to take the desired action. In the case of any external information or news affecting market conditions or the economy, the actions taken by the speculative traders feed new information in the derivatives market which further drives the price movements.

The Bitcoin futures and options market plays a key role in the Bitcoin price discovery since they are the first ones to react as the transaction costs are much low here as compared to the spot markets. Thus, they include the element of future prediction about what is likely to happen.

Factors That Play A Key Role in the Bitcoin Price Discovery

As we all know Bitcoin works completely on a decentralized blockchain network and there’s no regulatory body governing it, unlike other asset classes. Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies in general, is a very volatile asset and has been the subject of major price manipulations in the past.

Interestingly, although Bitcoin’s decentralized blockchain shields it from any external tampering or attacks, a number of exchanges where BTC trade are still centralized. Over the last few years, we have often heard things like massive exchanges with millions of dollars worth BTCs getting stolen and unaccounted for. Moreover, as most of the exchanges are not regulated, it hinders the accuracy in determining the BTC price value.

In order to determine the Bitcoin spot prices, the BTC price on the top-ten exchanges considered to be trustworthy is monitored. Usually, the BTC price movement is then monitored against other base fiat currencies like USD, EUR, GBP, KRW and JPY, or stablecoins like Tether (USDT).

Bitcoin Price Discovery has remained a tough task for a long-time. But as more regulated exchanges and marketplaces are coming into the picture, the scenario is improving. The institutional participation in BTC is likely to push further the demand for investment vehicles like Bitcoin ETFs and others.

Since such products only operate through regulated platforms, it will help to curb BTC’s price volatility and unpredictable behavior. During a panel discussion last year at Invest: ASIA in Singapore, Lennix Lai, financial market director at OKEx told Coindesk:

“If you can only buy or sell particular underlying tokens of bitcoin and you don’t have the capability to short, basically speculate in another direction, then the market would be a lot more volatile because it would be entirely driven by sentiment.”

“For example, you can view bitcoin as being much more volatile before CME Futures were introduced … so we should have more financial instruments like options to assist further in the price discovery process in relation to volatility.”

The recent participation from hedge funds, veteran investors, institutions, and other big players will bring more clarity to this concept of Bitcoin Price Discovery as the market matures.


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Author: Bhushan Akolkar




Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

Source: https://coingape.com/what-is-bitcoin-btc-price-discovery/

Blockchain

Facebook’s Libra Could Reportedly Arrive in January 2021 in a Scaled-Down Version

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  • Although Facebook failed to launch Libra in mid-2020 as initially planned, the social media giant could do so in early 2021.
  • Finance Times cited three people working on the project claiming that Libra’s long-awaited launch could come in January 2021 but in a scaled-down version.
  • CryptoPotato reported before that Libra already changed its original idea from being a “single global digital currency” to creating a series of various digital coins. 
  • The FT coverage asserted that Libra could see the light of day after receiving approval to operate as a payments service from the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). However, the Libra Association would initially release just a single coin backed one-for-one by the dollar. The other set of currencies would be rolled out later, should the FINMA application is successful.
  • Facebook rattled the financial world last year after announcing plans to launch its own cryptocurrency called Libra. After receiving scrutiny from world watchdogs, the Libra project underwent numerous changes, including executive replacements.
  • Libra suffered more blows when several notable partners left. Those included PayPal, Mastercard, eBay, Vodafone, and more.
  • In an attempt to salvage the project, the Association decided to make further changes by renaming Libra’s wallet provider from Calibra to Novi.

Featured Image Courtesy of AlJazeera

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/facebooks-libra-could-reportedly-arrive-in-january-2021-in-a-scaled-down-version/

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Bitcoin Worth $500 Million Withdrawn From OKEx as Users Look for Other Alternatives

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Users withdrew a record 29,300 BTC from OKEx after the Malta-based cryptocurrency exchange resumed withdrawals yesterday. This comes after bitcoin (BTC) price kickstarted its epic freefall dropping to levels near $16,500 before bouncing back up again. But what is the reason behind the massive bitcoin exodus out of OKEx?

OKEx Sees Significant BTC Withdrawals And Deposits

As per the latest update from on-chain and market analysis firm Glassnode, OKEx users have withdrawn a record 29,300 bitcoins after the exchange gave the green signal for resuming withdrawals yesterday. These BTC transactions amount to roughly $5 billion (considering the current spot rates).

Glassnode also observed a deposit of 21,600 BTC on OKEx. Withdrawals and deposits together had a depreciating effect on the exchange’s overall bitcoin balance which reduced to around 212,000 BTC.

The potential cause behind the massive exodus of bitcoin holdings could be a result of users leaving OKEx in search of other alternatives. Binance, Huobi, and some third party wallets were at the receiving end of the initial bitcoin transfers from the exchange.

Users Dissatisfied With OKex; Seek Other Alternatives

OKex announced the resumption of withdrawals on November 19. Few folks welcomed the developments, but most of them seemed miffed with the exchange’s recent bitcoin and crypto withdrawal suspension, with a lot of users demanding compensation else they make their move to other platforms.

Large BTC Deposits Point To ‘Centralized Failure’ Risks

As reported by CryptoPotato, OKEx had more than 200,000 BTC stored in their wallets during the ‘withdrawal lockdown.’

Although OKEx CEO Jay Hao assured users that their funds are safe and that there’s no “cause for alarm,” the vastness of the above bitcoin stash is pretty alarming. Especially because it is controlled by one single organization.

What’s more disappointing is that the official who had access to the private keys was ‘out of touch’ with the management. The OKEx personnel wasn’t able to reach out to him. This is not desirable since it poses huge risks to these BTC stashes falling prey to coordinated attacks that target centralized points of failure.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-worth-5-billion-withdrawn-from-okex-as-users-look-for-other-alternatives/

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Bitcoin: Temporary Correction or No ATH This Year? The Crypto Weekly Market Update

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Bitcoin has a way of surprising people. This week was no exception. A few days ago, almost everyone believed that the cryptocurrency is inevitably headed to a new all-time high. And how could they not? BTC was trading at a few hundred USD below the record from back in 2017. Unfortunately, things took a turn for the worst.

Yesterday was undoubtedly a bad day for bitcoin as it plunged a total of around $3,000 in less than 24 hours. From a high of about $19,500 down to $16,200, the bears poked and showed their faces. The entire market lost around $80 billion of its capitalization as altcoins actually had it worst.

During the market dive, Bitcoin’s dominance actually increased, showing that not only altcoins failed to hold their ground, but they dropped harder than BTC. Since then, there has been a slight recovery and at the time of this writing, the primary cryptocurrency is trading at around $17,000.

The move was seemingly propelled by the news that US regulators might seek to require identity verification from crypto wallet providers. Coinbase’s CEO, Brian Armstrong, commented on the matter, expressing his worries that if the new rules are implemented, they would be rather harmful to the users and the industry, in general.

At the same time, the popular cryptocurrency exchange OKEx opened withdrawals for the first time since they were shut down around a month ago, which might have prompted users to cash out the profits that they have been sitting on. In fact, CryptoPotato reported that around $500 million were withdrawn from the exchange as the crash started to take place.

In any case, the results are here, and it remains particularly interesting to see where will bitcoin go from here.

Market Data

Market Cap: $512B | 24H Vol: 181B | BTC Dominance: 62%

BTC: $17,132 (-7.98%) | ETH: $516.86 (+1.71%) | XRP: $0.56 (+74.08%)

Bitcoin Worth $500 Million Withdrawn From OKEx as Users Look for Other Alternative. Data shows that users withdrew a total of 29,300 BTC from the popular cryptocurrency exchange OKEx right after it resumed full functionality. This happened just as bitcoin plunged $3,000 in a matter of 24 hours. The exchange also resumed the withdrawals a day earlier than announced and during the Chinese trading hours.

Bitcoin Black Friday 2020: The Sales You Better Not Miss. It’s the end of November, and with this comes the long-anticipated shopping season. For many, this is a time to enjoy massive sales. We’ve taken the liberty of listing a few sales within the cryptocurrency field that aficionados might find interesting.

Facebook’s Libra Could Reportedly Arrive in January 2021 in a Scaled-Down Version. Libra, Facebook’s long-awaited cryptocurrency project, might be set to launch in early 2021. However, the version that’s potentially hitting the market is scaled-down and specifically intended to abide by the regulations of Switzerland’s FINMA.

Research Suggests Satoshi Nakamoto Launched Bitcoin From London. New research shows that activities associated with Satoshi Nakamoto from 2008 and 2010 might have taken place in London when Bitcoin’s network went live. This brings the experts a step closer to identifying who’s behind the legendary pseudonym.

6 Possible Reasons For Bitcoin’s $3,000 Daily Price Crash. Bitcoin went through a massive crash two days ago when it lost around $3,000 of its value in a sudden red candle. These are six reasons for which this may have happened and a brief outline of what might be next to come.

Coinbase CEO Fears Rumored Regulations Proposed By The Trump Administration. Brian Armstrong, the CEO of the leading US-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinabse, has said that he’s worried about the rumored regulations concerning third-party wallet providers having to identify their users. He said that this might harm users and the entire ecosystem.

Charts

This week we have a chart analysis of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Chainlink, and Stellar Lumens – click here for the full price analysis.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-temporary-correction-or-no-ath-this-year-the-crypto-weekly-market-update/

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